用神经网络模型预测足球运动员市场价值:数据驱动的方法

Vinscent Steve Arrul, Preethi Subramanian, Raheem Mafas
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本研究的领域是足球商业,其中足球运动员的市场价值被预测。研究人员设计了一个神经网络模型,利用《FIFA 19》的数据来预测足球运动员为足球俱乐部开出的价格。研究者进行了深入的文献综述研究,了解神经网络的内部工作原理,并在体育分析和预测方面找到了相关的工作。另一方面,本研究涉及不同激活函数、神经元数和层数、学习率及其衰减和L1正则化的神经网络超参数优化。进行K-Fold交叉验证,保证神经网络的质量。同时对神经网络训练的各个方面进行了探索,并对其评估指标如均方误差、r平方和均方根进行了研究。最后,选择性能最好的模型作为最终模型。最终的模型达到了95%的准确率和0.037的均方误差。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predicting the Football Players’ Market Value Using Neural Network Model: A Data-Driven Approach
The domain of this research is about football business in which the market value of football players was predicted. The researcher designed a neural network model to predict the price of a football player for football clubs utilizing data from FIFA 19. The researcher thoroughly conducted an in-depth research on literature review to understand the inner workings of the neural networks as well as found related works on sports analytics and prediction. On the other hand, this research involved the hyper parameter optimization of the neural network with different activation functions, number neuron and layers, learning rate and its decay and L1 regularization. K-Fold cross validation is carried out to ensure the quality of the neural network. Simultaneous exploration is done to various aspects of neural network training is performed and their evaluation metrics such as mean squared error, R-squared and Root Mean Square are investigated. Lastly, the best performing model is chosen for the final model. The final model achieved a 95 percent accuracy and a 0.037 mean square error.
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