快速变化世界中的新威胁

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摘要

地球的环境正在发生变化。自工业革命以来,气体在大气中积聚,吸收热量,提高了地球的温度。土壤变暖和动植物死亡率上升,提高了微生物群的活动,增加了二氧化碳和其他温室气体的排放。次生生物后果——包括物候学的新模式,疾病和入侵物种的传播,食物网的破坏,以及上一章描述的许多威胁——相互作用,使保护更具挑战性。例如,北方森林中受干旱胁迫的树木更容易受到在变化的气候中茁壮成长的病虫害的影响,而枯死的树木为野火提供了火种,由于气候变化,野火的蔓延和强度也在增加。其他物种可能会对成熟森林栖息地的丧失做出反应,破坏营养关系(Parmesan和Yohe, 2003年)。全球气候、海平面和海洋化学的变化都有很好的记录。尽管未来变化的幅度还不确定,但科学界一致认为,我们现在看到的趋势将持续数代人。科学家预计会有更多的物种受到威胁或濒临灭绝,灭绝的速度会加快(Thomas 2012;IPBES 2019)。气候变化及其次生生物后果影响着人类及其生态系统
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Emerging Threats in a Rapidly Changing World
The Earth’s environment is changing. Since the Industrial Revolution gases have been building up in the atmosphere, trapping heat and raising the temperature of the planet. Warming soil and increased mortality rates in plants and animals elevate the activity of microbiota, amplifying the emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases. Secondary biological consequences—including new patterns of phenology, the spread of disease and invasive species, disrupted food webs, and many of the threats described in the previous chapter— interact in ways that make conservation much more challenging. For example, drought-stressed trees in boreal forests are more susceptible to the pests and disease that thrive in the altered climate, and the dead trees provide tinder for wildfires, which are also increasing in spread and intensity because of climate changes. Other species may react to the loss of mature forest habitat, disrupting trophic relationships (Parmesan and Yohe 2003). Global changes in climate, sea levels, and ocean chemistry are well documented. Although there is uncertainty about the magnitude of future changes, there is scientific consensus that the trends we see now will continue for multiple human generations. Scientists expect more species to become threatened or endangered and the rate of extinction to increase (Thomas 2012; IPBES 2019). Climate change and its secondary biological consequences affect people and their
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