基于最小二乘支持向量机与模糊控制相结合的短期负荷预测

Rong Gao, Liyuan Zhang, Xiaohua Liu
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引用次数: 22

摘要

提出了一种基于最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)和模糊控制相结合的短期负荷预测方法。通过对负荷数据和气象数据的分析,建立LS-SVM模型,对峰谷负荷进行预测。然后利用预测误差数据建立的模糊规则对峰谷负荷进行调整。通过对日负荷变化系数相近的峰谷负荷进行梳理,得到提前1天和提前1周负荷。利用山东电力公司2008年的负荷数据和气象数据对预测模型进行了验证。仿真结果表明,该方法可以提高预测精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-term load forecasting based on least square support vector machine combined with fuzzy control
A short-term load forecasting method based on least square support vector machine(LS-SVM) combined with fuzzy control was proposed. The peak load and valley load was forecasted by LS-SVM model which was built by analysis of load data and meteorological data. Then the peak load and valley load was tuned by fuzzy rules which has been built by forecasting error data. One day and one week ahead load has been got by combing peak load and valley load with similar day load change coefficient. The load data and meteorological data of Shan Dong electrical company of 2008 was utilized to test the forecasting model. The simulation result shows the proposed method can improve the predicting accuracy.
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