基于风险的横向管道完整性决策

Amanda Kulhawy, Alex Nemeth, Garry Sommer, S. Hassanien
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摘要

完整性可靠性科学在输油管的完整性管理中起着重要作用,输油管是在高压下穿越大陆的长距离管道,并且可以经历高压循环。这门科学可以应用于非传输管道,如横向管道,它在较低的压力和较低的压力循环下穿越输电线和设施之间,或两个设施之间。分支管线与输电线一样容易受到同样的威胁(内部腐蚀、外部腐蚀、开裂、岩土工程危害等)。然而,由于它们的操作,分支结构只高度容易受到内部和外部腐蚀的影响。虽然场地的特定条件可能导致岩土工程灾害的高度易感性,但这种威胁超出了本文的范围。在输送管道上,通常通过在线检查(ILI)、无损检测(NDE)和相应的修理(如套管)来评估和减轻腐蚀。对于分支井,ILI和NDE数据有限。因此,在这些威胁的定量可靠性框架中使用的数据是不可用的,这在过程中造成了空白。本文通过应用基于风险的完整性决策框架,对水平段内部和外部腐蚀进行半定量可靠性分析,解决了这一问题。所提出的方法旨在使管道和设施运营商能够根据现有数据围绕横向完整性方案做出有效决策,并更好地了解完整性决策的局限性。此外,本文还围绕风险知情和基于风险的完整性决策之间的差异展开了讨论,以便为考虑不同标准的最优和安全的完整性管理方案提供指导。通过案例研究,包括有限或没有ILI或NDE信息,展示了半定量和定量水平段可靠性评估的应用,并探索了校准两种评估方法的挑战,为如何将可靠性科学应用于水平段提供了一个例子,以及如何在这种限制下将可靠性科学用于有效决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk-Based Integrity Decision Making for Lateral Piping
Integrity reliability science plays a major role in the integrity management of transmission piping, which is piping that traverses long distances across the continent, at high pressures, and can experience high pressure cycling. This science can be applied to non-transmission piping such as lateral piping, which traverses between a transmission line and a facility, or between two facilities, at lower pressures and with lower pressure cycling. Laterals are susceptible to the same threats as transmission lines (internal corrosion, external corrosion, cracking, geotechnical hazards, etc.). However, due to their operation, laterals are only highly susceptible to internal and external corrosion. While site specific conditions may result in a high susceptibility of a geotechnical hazard, this threat is outside of the scope of this paper. On transmission piping, corrosion is generally managed with In-Line Inspection (ILI), Non-Destructive Examination (NDE), and corresponding repairs (e.g. sleeving) to assess and mitigate. With laterals, there can be limited ILI and NDE data. As such, the data used in the quantitative reliability framework for these threats is not available and this creates a gap in the process. This paper addresses this gap through the application of semi-quantitative reliability analysis for internal and external corrosion on laterals along with a risk-based integrity decision making framework. The proposed approach is designed to enable pipeline and facility operators to make effective decisions around lateral integrity programs given the available data, and to better understand the limitations of integrity decision making. Moreover, the paper expands the discussion around the difference between risk-informed and risk-based integrity decision making in order to provide a guideline for optimal and safe integrity management programs considering different criteria. Case studies that include limited or no ILI or NDE information are used to demonstrate the application of semi-quantitative and quantitative reliability assessment of laterals along with the exploration of challenges in calibrating the two assessment methods to provide an example of how reliability science can be applied to laterals and how this can be used in effective decision making given such limitations.
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