区域创新风险——专家分析

Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Economy, Management and Entrepreneurship (ICOEME 2019) Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI:10.2991/ICOEME-19.2019.58

Dmitriy Y. Treshchevskiy, S. Papin, E. O. Penina

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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文对企业创新活动过程中风险影响程度和风险事件概率的专家意见进行了分析。研究的主题是沃罗涅日地区，该地区具有俄罗斯联邦创新发展水平的平均水平。实施创新项目的企业单位负责人、沃罗涅日州相关部门和创新机构的工作人员担任研究专家。采用模糊集法对专家评价结果进行处理，可以追踪到专家意见一致性较高的地方。研究发现，无论是在影响程度上还是在风险事件概率上，大多数风险都具有较低的价值。市场风险对投资活动影响最大，而制度风险影响最小。Keywords-innovative活动;创新项目;创新风险;专家评估

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Innovation Risks in the Region — Expert Analysis

The article presents the analysis of expert opinions on the degree of risks influence and risk events probability in the process of business innovative activity. The subject of the research is Voronezh region, the region with the average for the Russian Federation level of innovative development. The heads of enterprise units, which implement innovative projects, the employees of relevant departments and innovation agencies of Voronezh region served as experts for the research. The results of expert assessment were processed through fuzzy sets method, which allowed tracing the high level of expert opinions consistency. It was found that most risks have low value both in terms of the degree of influence and risk events probability. Market risks are most significant for investment activity, while institutional risks are least prominent. Keywords—innovative activities; innovative project; innovation risk; expert assessment

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Economy, Management and Entrepreneurship (ICOEME 2019)

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