考虑人口

L. Botsford, J. White, A. Hastings
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章描述了将人口动态视为一个相互关联的理解进展的连贯体的一些一般方法,如前十一章所发展的那样。第一个通则是理解种群动态取决于状态变量的概念。它还强调,动态取决于时间延迟,因此取决于年龄,尽管人口比率最终可能更多地取决于规模而不是年龄。更替在动态中起着普遍的作用,既影响种群在平衡状态下的行为,也影响种群对环境变化作出反应的时间尺度。替换在空间模型中也很重要,它与非空间模型中的替换阈值相同。此外,随着年龄的增长,繁殖分布(即更替)“过滤”环境变异性的方式影响灭绝概率。本章最后讨论了本书的经验教训将如何指导气候变化中的保护和管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Thinking about populations
This chapter describes some general ways of thinking about population dynamics as a coherent body of interrelated advances in understanding, as developed in the first eleven chapters. The first generality is that understanding population dynamics depends on the concept of a state variable. It also underscores that dynamics depend on time delays, thus on age, even though demographic rates may ultimately depend more on size than age. Replacement plays a general role in dynamics, influencing both behavior at equilibrium and the time scales at which populations respond to environmental variability. Replacement even retains its importance in spatial models, where it is related to the same replacement threshold as in non-spatial models. Additionally, the way in which the distribution of reproduction (i.e. replacement) over age “filters” environmental variability influences extinction probabilities. The chapter closes by discussing how lessons from this book will guide conservation and management in a changing climate.
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