识别货币政策冲击对泰国产出和价格的影响

Komain Jiranyakul
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文试图确定2005年第一季度和2016年第二季度货币政策冲击对泰国产出和价格水平的影响。近期可用政策利率作为货币政策变量。本文采用结构VAR方法对货币政策冲击进行了识别。为了提高模型规范的精度,对协整变量的指定结构模型施加短期限制,使变量的层次能够同时相互作用。结构模型的分析结果表明,货币政策冲击驱动了实际GDP和通货膨胀率的周期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shock on Output and Prices in Thailand
This paper attempts to identify the effects of monetary policy shock on output and price level in Thailand during 2005Q1 and 2016Q2. Recently available policy rate is used as a monetary policy variable. The structural VAR methodology is employed to identify the monetary policy shock. To enhance the precision of the model specification, the short-run restrictions are imposed on the specified structural model of cointegrated variables to allow the levels of variables to interact simultaneously with each other. The results from the analysis of the structural model reveal that a shock to monetary policy drives cycles for both real GDP and the inflation rate.
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