基于资产和股权乘数的国内垂直一体化油气公司投资吸引力指标研究

O. V. Shimko
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摘要

主题。本文重点关注2008年至2018年间25家领先的上市石油和天然气公司的市值或企业价值与资产负债表资产或股本的比率。研究的目的是追踪石油和天然气行业公司的市值或企业价值与资产负债表资产或权益比率的关键趋势,并确定其在研究期间变化的关键趋势,并确定导致这些变化的因素。在研究中,我采用了比较分析、财务分析和经济分析的方法,总结了财务报告数据。本文表明,所研究的乘数可以用于评估油气公司的价值,但更可取的是使用基于资产的比率。石油和天然气行业的市值与资产或市值与权益之比的倍数呈下降趋势,由于价值缺乏稳定性,不允许在其他日期使用这些比率进行估值。有必要详细分析财务和经济活动的结果和资产结构,以便选择一个模拟公司,特别是在危机时期。在石油和天然气资产的股票市场估值中有一个国家因素。总资本结构中债务部分的规模对市值的影响已经确立。随着时间的推移,债务负担水平有所增加。当被评估公司和模拟公司之间的债务负担存在差异时,建议使用包括净债务而不是市值的企业价值指标。结论和相关性。在使用基于资产和股东资本的乘数通过比较方法评估油气公司价值时,应考虑到全球油气行业股票市场部门盈利能力的总体下降和债务负担的增加。研究结果可用于评估油气资产的价值,作为比较方法的一部分,并决定提高上市油气公司市值的行动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multipliers Based on Assets and Equity as an Indicator of the Investment Attractiveness of Domestic Vertically Integrated Oil and Gas Companies
Subject. The article focuses on ratios of the market capitalization or enterprise value to balance sheet assets or equity of the twenty five leading publicly traded oil and gas companies within 2008 through 2018. Objectives. The aim of the study is to trace key trends in ratios of the market capitalization or enterprise value to balance sheet assets or equity of corporations in the oil and gas industry, as well as identify the key trends in their changes within the studied period, and establish factors that caused those changes. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of comparative, financial and economic analyses, summarizing financial reporting data. Results. The article establishes that the multipliers studied are acceptable for assessing the value of oil and gas companies, but it is preferable to use asset-based ratios. The multiples of the ratio of market capitalization to assets or market capitalization to equity in the oil and gas industry are characterized by a decrease, and the lack of stability of values does not allow using these ratios for other dates in valuation. It is necessary to analyze in detail the results of financial and economic activities and the structure of assets in order to select an analogue company, especially in times of crisis. There is a country factor in the stock market valuation of oil and gas assets. The influence on the market capitalization of the size of the debt component in the structure of total capital has been established. An increase in the level of debt burden over time was revealed. It is advisable to use an indicator of enterprise value that includes net debt instead of market capitalization when there is a difference in debt burden between the assessed corporation and the analogue company. Conclusions and Relevance. The overall decline in profitability and the increase in debt load in the stock market sector of the global oil and gas industry should be taken into account when using multipliers based on assets and shareholder capital in the assessment of the value of oil and gas corporations through a comparative approach. The findings can be used to appraise the value of oil and gas assets as part of the comparative approach and decide on actions for raising the market capitalization of publicly traded oil and gas corporations.
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