阿尔巴尼亚的非正规经济

Merita Toska, Giuseppe Torluccio
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文的主要目的是通过使用间接方法来评估阿尔巴尼亚非正规经济部门的规模:国民账户差异,简单货币比率,电力能源消耗和劳动力市场发展的一些证据。一些研究试图估计前几年阿尔巴尼亚非正规经济的规模,但没有证据表明最近对非正规经济的估计(至少没有公开的数据),特别是在2007年之后。此外,还有其他一些现有的研究对阿尔巴尼亚的非正式性进行了一些点评价,但没有关于其长期发展的资料。使用间接测量方法,我们发现非正式性仍然占GDP的很大份额,但与其他研究结果不同,我们发现的数字更低。这可能是阿尔巴尼亚政府长期以来进行的大规模改革和正规化进程的结果。尽管有这些结果,但重要的是要强调一个事实,即1996年至2012年期间,经济中非正规部门占GDP的平均比例呈下降趋势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Informal Economy in Albania
The main purpose of this paper is to assess the size of the informal sector of the economy in Albania by using indirect approaches: national accounts discrepancies, simple currency ratio, electrical energy consumption and some evidence by the labor market developments. A few studies have attempted to estimate the size of the informal economy in Albania in the previous years and there’s no evidence of recent estimates of informality (at least they are not publicly available), especially after 2007. Also, there are some other available studies which give some point assessments of informality in Albania but without information on its development over time. Using indirect measurement approaches we found that informality still accounts for a large share to GDP, but, differently from findings in other studies we found lower figures. This may be the result of vast reforms and a formalization process undertaken by the Albanian governments over time. Despite these results, it’s important to highlight the fact that the average ratio of the informal sector of the economy to GDP presents a declining trend over the period 1996-2012.
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