基于自适应BWO优化的BP短期交通流预测

Fuyou Mao, Limei Sun, Xiyang Liu
{"title":"基于自适应BWO优化的BP短期交通流预测","authors":"Fuyou Mao, Limei Sun, Xiyang Liu","doi":"10.1117/12.2671041","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Accurate short-term traffic flow prediction is the basis and key to the intelligent transportation system. With the continuous development of machine learning algorithms and the latest swarm intelligence algorithms, a reasonable combination of the two will produce a good prediction effect. In this paper, BP neural network algorithm in the short-term traffic flow prediction problem accuracy is not high and easy to fall into the local minimum and so on. This paper established a BP based on adaptive BWO optimization short-term traffic flow prediction model, first of all, to carry on the data preprocessing the data set and divided into the training set and test set, and then the data for training, the best model to forecast practical optimization results, finally the model prediction results were compared with the rest of the 6 kinds of classical model. The experimental results show that the optimized BP model based on adaptive BWO can achieve a good traffic flow prediction effect in the short term, MAE is 7.357, MSE is 102.772, and R2 is 0.889, which are better than the other six models.","PeriodicalId":227528,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computer Engineering (ICAICE 2022)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-04-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Short-term traffic flow prediction of BP based on adaptive BWO optimization\",\"authors\":\"Fuyou Mao, Limei Sun, Xiyang Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.1117/12.2671041\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Accurate short-term traffic flow prediction is the basis and key to the intelligent transportation system. With the continuous development of machine learning algorithms and the latest swarm intelligence algorithms, a reasonable combination of the two will produce a good prediction effect. In this paper, BP neural network algorithm in the short-term traffic flow prediction problem accuracy is not high and easy to fall into the local minimum and so on. This paper established a BP based on adaptive BWO optimization short-term traffic flow prediction model, first of all, to carry on the data preprocessing the data set and divided into the training set and test set, and then the data for training, the best model to forecast practical optimization results, finally the model prediction results were compared with the rest of the 6 kinds of classical model. The experimental results show that the optimized BP model based on adaptive BWO can achieve a good traffic flow prediction effect in the short term, MAE is 7.357, MSE is 102.772, and R2 is 0.889, which are better than the other six models.\",\"PeriodicalId\":227528,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computer Engineering (ICAICE 2022)\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-04-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computer Engineering (ICAICE 2022)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2671041\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computer Engineering (ICAICE 2022)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2671041","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

准确的短期交通流预测是智能交通系统的基础和关键。随着机器学习算法和最新的群体智能算法的不断发展,两者的合理结合将会产生良好的预测效果。本文提出了BP神经网络算法在短期交通流预测问题上精度不高、容易陷入局部极小值等问题。本文建立了一个基于BP自适应BWO优化的短期交通流预测模型,首先对数据集进行数据预处理,并将数据集分为训练集和测试集,然后对数据进行训练,选出最佳模型预测实际优化结果,最后将模型预测结果与其余6种经典模型进行对比。实验结果表明,基于自适应BWO的优化BP模型在短期内取得了较好的交通流预测效果,MAE为7.357,MSE为102.772,R2为0.889,优于其他6种模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-term traffic flow prediction of BP based on adaptive BWO optimization
Accurate short-term traffic flow prediction is the basis and key to the intelligent transportation system. With the continuous development of machine learning algorithms and the latest swarm intelligence algorithms, a reasonable combination of the two will produce a good prediction effect. In this paper, BP neural network algorithm in the short-term traffic flow prediction problem accuracy is not high and easy to fall into the local minimum and so on. This paper established a BP based on adaptive BWO optimization short-term traffic flow prediction model, first of all, to carry on the data preprocessing the data set and divided into the training set and test set, and then the data for training, the best model to forecast practical optimization results, finally the model prediction results were compared with the rest of the 6 kinds of classical model. The experimental results show that the optimized BP model based on adaptive BWO can achieve a good traffic flow prediction effect in the short term, MAE is 7.357, MSE is 102.772, and R2 is 0.889, which are better than the other six models.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信