经济政策不确定性对数字经济增长的影响研究

Dongdong Cao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文概述了经济政策不确定性如何影响数字经济增长的理论机制,并认为这种不确定性将产生激励效应和选择效应。鉴于此,本文利用地级市面板数据和Baker et al.(2016)创建的中国经济政策不确定性指数进行实证研究。(1)研究表明,经济政策的不确定性对数字经济的增长产生了积极影响。(2)不确定的经济政策对数字经济的影响差异很大。在东部和南部地区以及大城市和经济发展水平较高的地区,经济政策的不确定性对数字经济的促进产生了负面影响,但在其他地区,这种影响很小或不存在。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Studies on the influence of economic policy uncertainty on the growth of the digital economy
This paper outlines a theoretical mechanism for how economic policy uncertainty impacts the growth of the digital economy and argues that this uncertainty will have an incentive effect as well as a selection effect. In light of this, this paper conducts empirical research using panel data of prefecture-level cities and the uncertainty index of China's economic policy created by Baker et al. (2016). (1) Economic policy uncertainty is having a positive impact on the growth of the digital economy, according to the study. (2) The effects of uncertain economic policy on the digital economy vary widely. The promotion of the digital economy is negatively impacted by the uncertainty of economic policy in the eastern and southern regions, as well as in regions with large cities and high levels of economic development, but this impact is minimal or nonexistent in other regions.
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