区块链技术的金融应用研究

Mohammed Ali Mohammed
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本文研究了用于加密货币价格预测的机器学习和区块链技术的最新进展。该研究提出了一个ML系统,使用各种技术应用于六个不同的数据集。研究结果强调,在预测加密货币价格方面,更简单的模型可以优于复杂的模型。方法:本研究中使用的方法包括在六个加密货币数据集上应用不同的ML技术,如LSTM、CNN、SVM、KNN、XGBoost、Astro ML、LASSO、RIDGE、线性回归、DT和GP来预测价格。结果:该研究评估了用于预测加密货币价格的各种机器学习技术,并报告了以下RMSE值:使用Nadaraya-Watson内核回归预测比特币的RMSE为0.17,而使用线性回归预测狗狗币的RMSE为0.032。使用高斯回归对以太坊价格进行预测,RMSE为0.02。对于USD Coin, XGBoost、高斯回归和Ridge技术的组合导致RMSE为0.014。使用高斯回归的币安币价格预测RMSE为0.032,使用LSTM的卡尔达诺币价格预测RMSE为0.059。结论:本研究证明了各种机器学习技术在预测加密货币价格方面的有效性。它表明,在某些情况下,更简单的模型可以胜过复杂的模型。该研究为该领域提供了有价值的见解,可以指导未来加密货币价格预测的工作。通过RMSE度量评估,该模型取得了令人满意的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigation of financial applications with blockchain technology
Aims: This article investigates recent advancements in machine learning and blockchain technology for cryptocurrency price prediction. The study presents a ML system using various techniques applied to six different datasets. The findings highlight that simpler models can outperform complex ones in predicting cryptocurrency prices. Methods: The methods used in this study include applying diverse ML techniques such as LSTM, CNN, SVM, KNN, XGBoost, Astro ML, LASSO, RIDGE, linear regression, DT, and GP on six cryptocurrency datasets to predict prices. Results: The research evaluated various machine learning techniques for predicting cryptocurrency prices and reported the following RMSE values: Bitcoin prediction using Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression yielded an RMSE of 0.17, while Dogecoin prediction with linear regression resulted in an RMSE of 0.032. Ethereum price prediction using Gaussian regression achieved an RMSE of 0.02. For USD Coin, a combination of XGBoost, Gaussian regression, and Ridge techniques led to an RMSE of 0.014. Binance Coin price prediction using Gaussian regression had an RMSE of 0.032, and finally, Cardano Coin prediction employing LSTM reached an RMSE of 0.059. Conclusion: This study demonstrated the effectiveness of various machine learning techniques in predicting cryptocurrency prices. It revealed that simpler models can outperform complex ones in certain cases. The research contributes valuable insights to the field and can guide future work in cryptocurrency price prediction. The proposed model achieved promising results as evaluated by the RMSE metric.
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