洪水预测的时空感知图卷积网络

Jun Feng, Zhongyi Wang, Yirui Wu, Yuqi Xi
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引用次数: 7

摘要

智能洪水预报系统为洪水灾害预报提供了有效手段。洪水流量的准确预测是一个巨大的挑战,因为它同时受到洪水因子之间的时空关系的影响。目前流行的深度学习结构如长短期记忆(LSTM)网络缺乏对水文数据空间相关性的建模能力,因此无法得到令人满意的预测结果。此外,并非所有的时间信息对洪水预报总是有价值的。本文提出了一种具有时空感知的洪水预测图卷积网络(ST-GCN),该网络能够从原始洪水数据中提取时空信息。此外,引入时间关注机制,对不同时间步长的重要性进行加权,从而纳入全局时间信息,提高洪水预测精度。与现有方法相比,在两个自采集数据集上的结果表明,ST-GCN大大提高了预测性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatial and Temporal Aware Graph Convolutional Network for Flood Forecasting
Intelligent flood forecasting systems provide an effective means to forecast flood disaster. Accurate flood flow value prediction is a huge challenge since it's influenced by both spatial and temporal relationship among flood factors. Popular deep learning structures like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network lacks abilities of modeling the spatial correlations of hydrological data, thus cannot yield satisfactory prediction results. Moreover, not all the temporal information is always valuable for flood forecasting. In this paper, we proposed a novel spatial and temporal aware Graph Convolution Network (ST-GCN) for flood prediction, which is capable to extract spatial-temporal information from raw flood data. Moreover, a temporal attention mechanism is introduced to weight the importance of different time steps, thus involving global temporal information to improve flood prediction accuracy. Compared with the existing methods, results on two self-collected datasets show that ST-GCN greatly improves the prediction performance.
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