将最大熵技术扩展到熵约束

G. Xiang, V. Kreinovich
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在许多实际情况下,我们只有关于概率的部分信息。在某些情况下,我们在概率和/或相关统计特征上有清晰的(区间)界限。在其他情况下,我们有模糊界,即具有不同确定性程度的不同区间界。在不确定的情况下,我们不知道期望特性的确切值。在这种情况下,我们希望找到它的最差可能值、最佳可能值和“典型”值——对应于“最可能”的概率分布。通常,作为这种“典型”分布,我们选择熵值最大的分布。当关于分布的信息由矩值和其他特征组成时,这种方法在通常情况下非常有效。例如,如果我们只知道第一阶矩和第二阶矩,那么熵最大的分布就是正态分布(高斯分布)。然而,在某些情况下,我们知道分布的熵(=信息量)。在这种情况下,最大熵方法不起作用,因为所有与我们的知识一致的分布都具有完全相同的熵值。在本文中,我们展示了如何将最大熵方法的主要思想扩展到这种情况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Extending maximum entropy techniques to entropy constraints
In many practical situations, we have only partial information about the probabilities. In some cases, we have crisp (interval) bounds on the probabilities and/or on the related statistical characteristics. In other situations, we have fuzzy bounds, i.e., different interval bounds with different degrees of certainty. In a situation with uncertainty, we do not know the exact value of the desired characteristic. In such situations, it is desirable to find its worst possible value, its best possible value, and its “typical” value – corresponding to the “most probable” probability distribution. Usually, as such a “typical” distribution, we select the one with the largest value of the entropy. This works perfectly well in usual cases when the information about the distribution consists of the values of moments and other characteristics. For example, if we only know the first and the second moments, then the distribution with the largest entropy if the normal (Gaussian) one. However, in some situations, we know the entropy (= amount of information) of the distribution. In this case, the maximum entropy approach does not work, since all the distributions which are consistent with our knowledge have the exact sam e entropy value. In this paper, we show how the main ideas of the maximum entropy approach can be extended to this case.
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