关于预算赤字、公共债务和货币的六个简单建议

M. Sawyer
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摘要

本文提出并详细阐述了关于预算赤字、公共债务和货币的六项主张,这些主张应该为财政政策的辩论提供信息。这些主张是:货币供应量不是政府支出的限制,因为央行有能力提供任何所需的资金。关键的考虑应集中在拟议支出的社会可取性和支出的最终筹资问题上。像“神奇的摇钱树”这样的短语是为了混淆和误导。像人民量化宽松这样的提议,不能实现任何从传统财政政策中无法获得的刺激,而且把支出决策权交给未经选举的央行行长,是反民主的。公共财政的“黄金法则”(仅为公共投资而借贷)遭受了将政府视为公司的谬论,与“政府就像一个家庭”的谬论相当。预算状况的目标应该是确保充分就业和产能。将会有资金支持这一立场。公共债务的可持续性(而非过度)应参照提案5中预算状况所产生的债务水平来判断。与私人债务和外债相比,公共债务被认为不是一个问题(当政府可以通过税收和货币创造来支付利息时)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
SIX SIMPLE PROPOSITIONS ON BUDGET DEFICITS, PUBLIC DEBT AND MONEY
The paper sets out and elaborates on six propositions on budget deficits, public debt and money which should inform debates on fiscal policy. The propositions are:Money availability is not a limitation on government expenditure as the central bank is able to provide any required finance. The key considerations should focus on the issues of the social desirability of the proposed expenditure and the eventual funding of the expenditure.Phrases such as ‘magic money tree’ are designed to confuse and mislead.Proposals such as people’s QE do not enable any stimulus which cannot be obtained from conventional fiscal policy and is anti-democratic putting expenditure decisions in the hands of unelected central bankers.The golden rule’ of public finance (borrowing only for public investment) suffers from the fallacy of treating government like a firm and is comparable to the ‘government is like a household’ fallacy.The target for budget position should be to secure full employment and capacity. Funds would be forthcoming to underpin such a position.Public debt should be judged sustainable (and not excessive) by reference to the level of debt which results from a budget position as forthcoming from proposition 5. Public debt is to be considered as less of an issue (when government can cover interest through taxation and through money creation) than private debt and foreign debt.
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