气候变化下古贺灌溉项目农户用水需求与可用性认知

B. Berhanu, A. Haile, K. Getnet, Y. Amha
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摘要

灌溉当然是农民适应气候变化和变化的一种手段。然而,气候变化对灌溉农业的影响和可能的解决方案仍然值得更多的研究。因此,我们评估了农民对气候变化的看法,以及气候变化对蓝尼罗河上游塔纳湖子流域科加灌溉计划当前和未来水资源管理的影响。古贺县过去完全依靠雨养农业的农民表示,该计划的主要好处是多次种植,增加产量和利润,节省,儿童入学率和总体上更好的生活。尽管有这些明显的好处,但超过一半的受访者对目前的水资源分配表示不满。农民们担心气候变化和变化可能会加剧当前的水资源分配问题。例如,60%的受访者认为冰雹是该地区主要的气候压力之一。十分之七的答复者认为在过去20年中降雨模式(开始和变异)发生了变化。略少于一半的农民认为,在过去的二十年里,气温有所上升。超过一半的农民预计未来由于气候变化和沉积而缺水。几乎所有受访者在缺水时都不使用其他水源。不使用额外水源的主要原因是与河水距离较远,以及现有的人工挖水井与耕地距离较远。约38%、12%和12%的受访者分别建议,挖地下水井、收集雨水和改善治理是应对未来水资源短缺的更好策略。解决现有水资源分配问题并使农民能够更好地应对预期的未来水资源短缺的措施将增加该计划的弹性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Farmer’s Perception about Water Demand and Availability in Koga Irrigation Project Under Climate Change
Irrigation is certainly a means for farmers to adapt to climate variability and change. However, the impact of climate change on irrigated agriculture and possible options to deal with it still deserves more research. We therefore assessed farmer‟s perception on climate change and its impact on current and future water management in the Koga irrigation scheme in Lake Tana sub-basin, source of upper Blue Nile River. Farmers in Koga who used to entirely rely on rain fed agriculture stated that the major benefits of the scheme are multiple cropping, increased productions and profits, savings, children‟s school enrollment and in general better livelihoods. Despite these observed benefits more than half of the respondents expressed dissatisfaction with the current water allocation.  Farmers are concerned that climate variability and change might exasperate the current water allocation issues. For example, hail strom was cited as one of the major climate stress in the region by 60% of respondent. Seven out of ten respondents felt a change in rainfall pattern (onset and variability) in the past 20 years.Slightly less than half of the farmers believe that temperature has increased over the past two decades. More than half of the farmers anticipate future water shortages due to climate change and sedimentation. Almost all of the respondents do not use other water sources during times of water shortage. The main reasons for not using additional source of water are long distance from river water, and long distance between existing hand dug groundwater wells and cultivated lands. About 38%, 12% and 12% of the respondents suggest respectively digging groundwater wells, rainwater harvesting and improved governance as better strategies to deal with future water shortage. Measures that will solve existing water allocation problems and enable farmers to better deal with the anticipated future water shortages will increase the resilience of the scheme.
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