欧亚经济联盟成员国相互贸易额的计量经济学分析

Economy of Russia: problems, trends, forecasts Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI:10.26526/conferencearticle_61cc296bccac42.37597958

M. Tsvil, E. Guleva, Margarita Zubkova

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摘要

本文基于2017年第一季度至2021年第三季度的季度数据，建立了欧亚经济联盟成员国相互贸易额的计量时间序列模型。建立了指数平滑模型和乘法模型。此外，还对2021年第四季度的双边贸易额进行了预测

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE VOLUME OF MUTUAL TRADE OF THE EAEU MEMBER STATES

The article provides econometric time series models for the volumes of mutual trade of the EAEU member states based on quarterly data from the 1st quarter of 2017 to the 3rd quarter of 2021. An exponential smoothing model and a multiplicative model are built. Also, a forecast was made for the volume of mutual trade in the IV quarter of 2021

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Economy of Russia: problems, trends, forecasts

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