第1集:凯恩斯的投资乘数是错误理论的无可争辩的证据

Didier Vanoverberghe
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自1933年《泰晤士报》发表以来,约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯(John Maynard Keynes)的投资乘数理论引发了许多争论和争议。一项投资能否在一年内产生3到4倍于其价值的收益?迄今为止,没有人质疑这一乘数的理论价值。即使像弗里德曼这样最大的反对者也只是质疑乘数值,认为与之竞争的永久收入接近于1。我们将在第一篇文章中说明乘数是基于错误的理论,必须放弃。即将发表的一篇文章将挑战永久性收入假说,并为经济如何运作提供一个明确的结论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economy works differently Episode 1: The indisputable proof that Keynes' Investment Multiplier is a Wrong Theory
From its publication in The Times in 1933, John Maynard Keynes’s investment multiplier sparked much debate and controversy. Can an investment generate 3 or 4 times its value in income within one year? To date, no one has questioned the theoretical merits of this multiplier. Even the biggest opponents like Friedman have only questioned the multiplier value, judged to be closed from 1 in the permanent income that competes with it. We will show in this first article that the multiplier is based on a faulty theory and must be abandoned. An upcoming article will challenge the permanent income hypothesis and provide a definitive conclusion to how the economy works.
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