How Modeling the Adoption of Household Clean Energy Technologies can Inform Stakeholder Decisions

Increasing the adoption of household clean energy technologies is important to achieving sustainable development and to improving the environmental, economic, and social impacts of these technology interventions. While much work has been done to understand the many factors driving successful interventions, little research has been done to quantify and then model the adoption of these technologies. Current optimization models to maximize impact rely on the effective prediction of adoption, yet this piece remains the least understood component. The purpose of this paper is to outline the various ways in which being able to model the adoption of household clean energy technologies would be beneficial for designers, implementation organizations, and policymakers to aid in their design and decision-making processes. We provide a brief review of the literature and current challenges to adoption, examples of current methods and modeling tools that can be used to optimize sustainable impacts, and how these tools could be improved through adoption modeling. We discuss the benefits of being able to model adoption for various stakeholders in the clean energy sector along with proposing some methodologies that can be used to accomplish this goal.