通过估计手术治疗失败的概率来选择激光治疗的患者

Vyrmaskin S.I., Trunin D.A., Afanasev V.V.
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摘要

该研究致力于研究炎症性和破坏性牙周病。在选择一种特定的方法时,预测良好结果或治疗失败的可能性是医生最重要的任务之一。如果不使用大量的数据来描述患者在特定时间点的状况,就无法解决这个问题。这个问题的经验方法在很大程度上取决于个人经验,并不意味着获得任何形式化的(数值)概率估计成功或相反,不成功的治疗结束。在临床实践中正确有效地使用牙科激光需要了解其对口腔组织的影响。每种类型的激光都有其用于解决临床病例的特性。激光辐射需要的方法与传统的牙科器械使用有很大的不同。为了确定激光治疗炎症性和破坏性牙周病的适应症,我们应用生物识别方法开发了多维分析的数学模型,从而获得了优化方法和治疗策略选择的定性评估。预测模型的开发分几个阶段进行。每一个普遍接受的表征牙周病的牙齿体征都不能作为手术治疗有效或无效的可靠标准。使用具有高度统计可靠性的特定治疗结果概率的逻辑(指数)模型进行综合评估,可以选择推荐使用激光技术治疗的患者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PATIENT SELECTION FOR THE LASER TREATMENT BY ESTIMATION OF THE THERAPEUTIC FAILURE PROBABILITY OF SURGICAL TREATMENT
The study is dedicated to the study of inflammatory and destructive periodontal diseases. Predicting the probability of a favorable outcome or treatment failure is one of the most important doctor’s tasks when choosing a particular method. This problem could not be solved without using a large amount of data characterizing the patient's condition at a particular point in time. The empirical approach to this problem depends largely on individual experience and does not imply obtaining any formalized (numerical) probability estimates of successful or, on the contrary, unsuccessful end of treatment. Correct and effective using of dental lasers in clinical practice requires knowledge of their effects on tissues of the oral cavity. Each type of laser has its properties that are used to solve clinical cases. Laser radiation requires an approach that is significantly different from the traditional use of dental instruments. To determine lasers therapeutic indications for the treatment of inflammatory and destructive periodontal diseases, we applied biometric approaches to the development of mathematical models using multidimensional analysis, allowing to obtain qualitative assessments for optimization of method and treatment strategy selection. The development of predictive models was carried out in several stages. Each of the generally accepted dental signs characterizing periodontal disease could not be a reliable criterion for the effectiveness or ineffectiveness of surgical treatment. Comprehensive assessment using a logistic (exponential) model of the probability of a particular treatment outcome with a high degree statistical reliability makes it possible to select patients for whom treatment with laser technologies is recommended.
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