欧洲资本结构变化:分解国家、行业和公司对杠杆的特定影响

Stefan Pohl
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我发现,2007年至2015年间欧洲企业杠杆率的变化在很大程度上是由企业和行业特征驱动的。传统的时变企业特征解释的杠杆变化与国家和行业固定效应的总和一样多。行业之间的杠杆横截面差异比国家之间更为明显。正如传统权衡理论所预测的那样,企业税率确实对杠杆有显著的正向影响。然而,相对于企业和行业特定的影响,这种影响是微不足道的。关于权衡和优先顺序模型的证据充其量是混杂的。此外,宏观经济条件在很大程度上是无关紧要的,无法解释线性回归背景下的杠杆差异。然而,对资本结构的宏观经济影响可能通过企业和行业决定因素传导,从而间接影响融资选择。需要一个更动态的、可能是非线性的模型规范。2008年金融危机和随后的欧洲债务危机的影响在整个欧洲企业中都很明显,对南欧企业的影响最为严重。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capital Structure Variation across Europe: Decomposing Country-, Industry- and Firm-Specific Effects on Leverage
I find that corporate European leverage variation between 2007 and 2015 is largely driven by firm and industry characteristics. Conventional, time-varying firm characteristics explain as much leverage variation as country and industry fixed effects combined. Cross-sectional leverage disparities are more distinct between industries than between countries. Corporate tax rate does have a significant positive effect on leverage, as predicted by the traditional tradeoff theory. The impact is however negligibly small relative to firm- and industry-specific effects. Evidence on both the tradeoff and pecking order model is, at best, mixed. Moreover, macroeconomic conditions are largely insignificant and unable to explain leverage differences in a linear regression context. Macroeconomic effects on capital structure might however channel through firm and industry determinants, thus affecting financing choice indirectly. A more dynamic, possibly nonlinear model specification is needed. Effects of the financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent European debt crisis are apparent across all of corporate Europe and are most severe for Southern European firms.
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