1914年的金融危机:我们能从奥尔德里奇-弗里兰紧急货币中学到什么?

W. Silber
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引用次数: 20

摘要

第一次世界大战爆发时,一代人以来最大规模的黄金外流给美国金融带来了双重威胁:银行体系内部的货币外流和欧洲外部的黄金外流。由于没有一个可操作的中央银行,财政部长威廉·g·麦卡杜(William G. McAdoo)即兴发挥了一种现代原则,即在每个政策目标上瞄准一件独立的武器。他采取了某种形式的资本管制来应对外部威胁,关闭纽约证券交易所(NYSE)四个多月,以防止欧洲人出售他们的美国证券并要求黄金作为回报。他还援引了《奥尔德里奇-弗里兰法案》(Aldrich-Vreeland Act)中的紧急货币条款来应对内部威胁,允许银行发行国家银行券,而无需通常要求货币由美国政府债券担保。根据Friedman和Schwartz(1963,第196页)的说法,到1914年11月,“国家已经从……在欧洲宣战,这在很大程度上要归功于奥尔德里奇-弗里兰紧急货币的可用性。”本文对弗里德曼和施瓦茨关于奥尔德里奇-弗里兰紧急货币力量的猜想进行了检验,并为货币政策提供了借鉴。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Great Financial Crisis of 1914: What Can We Learn from Aldrich-Vreeland Emergency Currency?
At the outbreak of World War I, the biggest gold outflow in a generation posed a double-barreled threat to American finance: An internal drain of currency from the banking system and an external drain of gold to Europe. The absence of an operational central bank encouraged Treasury Secretary William G. McAdoo to improvise the modern principle of aiming an independent weapon at each policy target. He employed a form of capital controls to deal with the external threat, shutting the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) for more than four months to prevent Europeans from selling their American securities and demanding gold in return. And he invoked the emergency currency provisions of the Aldrich-Vreeland Act to deal with the internal threat, allowing banks to issue national bank notes without the normal requirement that the currency be secured by U.S. goverment bonds. According to Friedman and Schwartz (1963, p.196), by November 1914 "the country had recovered from... the declaration of war in Europe, thanks in no small part to the availability of Aldrich-Vreeland emergency currency." This paper tests Friedman and Schwartz's conjecture about the power of Aldrich-Vreeland emergency currency and draws lessons for monetary policy.
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