在理性与不确定性之间:探索灾害治理的最佳策略和预算视角

B. Supriyono, O. R. Danar
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引用次数: 1

摘要

印度尼西亚遭受了巨大的自然灾害破坏和损失,人们对政府是否有能力通过适当的灾害治理战略将灾害风险降到最低提出了许多质疑。本文探讨了目前以理性主义原则为基础的灾害管理策略和预算机制。然而,在动态和高度不确定性的情况下,理性主义原则的有效性和效率仍然值得怀疑。近年来,政府在灾难中承担了一系列臭名昭著的后果,这为它提供了支持。因此,本文采用定性方法,在理论分析和文献研究的基础上,寻求当前战略的绩效描述和不足。研究结果说明了模糊的机制,特别是地方灾害策略、政治决策和补偿机制的灵活性。最后,本文还为政策制定者提供了一个具体的建议,为当前的战略留出足够的空间,使其更能适应未来的任何动荡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Between Rationality and Uncertainty: Exploring the Finest Strategy to Manage Disaster Governance and Budgetary Perspective
Massive damage and loss of natural hazards occurred in Indonesia, raising numerous questions about the government's capacity to minimize disaster risk through appropriate disaster governance strategy. This article explores the strategy to manage the disaster and budgetary mechanism currently underpinned by the rationalist principle. However, during the dynamic situation and high degree of uncertainty, the effectiveness and efficiency of the rationalist principle remain questionable. It has been supported by a set of notorious consequences of the disaster that the government has undertaken in recent years. Therefore, by using a qualitative approach, this article aims to seek the performance's description and shortcomings of current strategy based on theoretical analysis and literature study. The findings illustrate the vague mechanism, particularly local disaster strategy, political decision-making, and flexibility of reimbursement mechanisms. Finally, this article also gives a specific recommendation for policymakers to give plenty of space for a current strategy to be more adaptive toward any turbulences in the future.
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