风预报:混合统计和深度神经网络方法

Himanshu Kumar, Parul Arora, B. K. Panigrahi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

可再生能源在电力网中的高度渗透需要预测信息,以便将其适当整合。这就需要更快的速度和更高的精度的稳健的预测技术。有大量的统计和机器学习方法可用于预测,但单独它们的速度和准确性低于混合方法。本文提出了ARIMA-SVR和ARIMA-RNN两种快速、准确的混合方法。这些方法在两个区域的风电场数据集上进行了测试,并在这些数据集上进行了每小时的预测。结果表明,对于选定的两个风电场区,ARIMA-SVR混合架构的性能优于ARIMA-RNN。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wind Forecasting:Hybrid Statistical and Deep Neural Network Approaches
High penetration of renewable energies in the electrical grids require forecasting information for their proper integration. This necessitates the robust forecasting techniques in terms of faster speed and high accuracy. There is a large number of statistical and machine learning methods available for forecasting, but individually their speed and accuracy is lesser than the hybrid methods. This paper proposes two-hybrid methods ARIMA-SVR and ARIMA-RNN which are very fast and accurate. These methods are tested on a wind farm dataset of two zones, and hourly predictions are performed on these. Results obtained have shown that ARIMA-SVR hybrid architecture outperformed the ARIMA-RNN for the selected two wind farm zones.
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