通过财政赤字管理尼日利亚经济

Umar Bala, Badamasi Salihu Uba, Adamu Yahuza Haruna
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摘要

本研究考察了1980年至2019年财政赤字、汇率和通货膨胀率对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)结合检验发现本研究中的协整联系。分析发现,虽然通货膨胀和汇率与尼日利亚经济呈正相关且显著,但财政赤字对该国GDP的影响为负但相对不显著。尼日利亚政府应该稳定其货币的外部价值,防止其在短期内贬值。应该制定这样的政策,鼓励人们纳税,同时为遵纪守法的人提供激励。政府应该降低贷款利率,在增加政府收入的同时,鼓励国内中小投资者进行投资,创造就业岗位。政府机构应减少奢侈品和浪费性支出,以避免财政赤字。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Managing the Nigerian Economy through Fiscal Deficit
This study examined how fiscal deficit, exchange rate, and inflation rate impacted the economic growth of the Nigerian economy from 1980 to 2019. The cointegration connection in the study was discovered using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test. The analysis found that, while inflation and the exchange rate have a positive and significant relationship with the Nigerian economy, the fiscal deficit has a negative but relatively insignificant effect on the country's GDP. The Nigerian government should stabilise the currency's external value and prevent it from falling in value in the short term. Such policies should be developed to encourage people to pay taxes while providing incentives to those who abide. The government should lower lender interest rates to boost small domestic investors to make investments and create jobs while increasing government revenue. Government agencies should reduce luxuries and wasteful spending to avoid a fiscal deficit.
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