输电线路气象风险精细化建模及气象灾害在线预警防御策略研究

Lu Ming, Guo Zhimin, Meng Gaojun, Yuan Sikun, Li Yun, Lu Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气象因素对输电线路的稳定运行起着至关重要的作用,在风险评估中应考虑气象因素。在此基础上,提出了输电线路气象风险预警与防护方法。考虑时空发电预测、设备健康可靠性评估和概率负荷预测,对气象风险进行精细建模,提出了一种基于气象灾害、电网脆弱性和灾后恢复成本的气象风险度量标准。此外,提出了气象灾害在线预警与防御策略研究,以实现负荷中断恢复和缓解电力拥堵。最后,对所提方法进行了仿真测试和分析,进一步验证了该方法的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on Refinement Modeling of Transmission Lines' Meteorological Risks and Online Early Warning and Defense Strategy of Meteorological Disasters
Meteorological factors should be taken into account in risk assessment as it plays a vital role in the stable operation of transmission lines. On this basis, a method for early warning and protection of meteorological risk for transmission lines is proposed. Meticulous modeling of meteorological risk is carried out considering space-time power generation prediction, equipment health and reliability assessment and probabilistic load forecasting, and a novel risk measurement standard is proposed based on meteorological hazard, power grid vulnerability and post-disaster recovery cost. In addition, a research on online early warning and defense strategies for meteorological disasters is proposed for load interruption recovery and alleviation of electricity congestion. Finally, the proposed method is tested and analyzed in simulation, and the effectiveness of the method is further verified.
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