Alexander Lanoszka
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摘要

许多学者认为,强大的军事联盟以及国内社会强有力的反核规范,将使日本不太可能采取任何与核扩散有关的行为。本章对这些观点提出了挑战,表明自从日本在20世纪60年代末对铀浓缩和后处理技术产生兴趣以来,与美国的联盟并没有完全抑制日本的核野心。事实上,日本对核的兴趣是在人们担心军事联盟正在削弱的情况下激起的。此外,尽管美日同盟确实在一定程度上抑制了日本对核武器的兴趣,但美国不愿在这个问题上直接胁迫日本。在20世纪70年代,国内政治以及较小程度上的声望考量,可以说比与联盟相关的考量对日本核决策的影响更大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Japan, 1952–1980
Many scholars would hold that a robust military alliance as well as strong anti-nuclear norms in domestic society would make any nuclear proliferation-related behaviour unlikely on the part of Japan. This chapter challenges such arguments, showing that the alliance with the United States did not fully inhibit Japan’s nuclear ambitions since Japan ratcheted up its interest in enrichment and reprocessing technologies in the late 1960. Indeed, Japan’s nuclear interest piqued amid concerns that the military alliance was weakening. Moreover, although the alliance did discourage some level of interest in nuclear weapons, the United States was reluctant to coerce Japan directly on this issue. Domestic politics and—to a lesser extent—prestige considerations were arguably a greater influence on Japan’s nuclear decision-making in the 1970s than alliance-related ones.
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