意外的价格变化和新闻会影响巴勒斯坦的价格波动吗?

Elham Shubaita, Muhammad Mar’I
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引用次数: 0

摘要

通货膨胀是经济中的一个基本问题。许多国家试图以通货膨胀为目标,以减少公民储蓄的侵蚀,因此许多研究人员都关注这个话题。当前的研究试图确定新闻或消费者价格指数篮子的意外变化是否会不对称地影响价格的波动。结果表明,12个部门中有4个部门不受新闻的影响,要么是因为它们具有恒定的方差,要么是因为EGARCH不显著。其他行业对高价格新闻和低价格新闻的反应在幅度或迹象上有所不同。一般来说,我们可以注意到,具有重大负冲击的高价格对未来波动的影响更大。影响其未来波动的冲击对低价格是正面和负面的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do the Unexpected Price Change and News Affect Price Volatility in Palestine?
Inflation is an essential issue in the economy. Many countries try to target inflation to reduce the erosion of savings for citizens, so many researchers have focused on this topic. The current study attempts to determine whether the news or an unexpected change in the consumer prices index basket affects the volatility of the prices asymmetrically. The result shows that four of twelve sectors are not affected by the news, either because they have a constant variance or because of the not significance of EGARCH. The rest sectors show different responses to high price news and low-price news either by magnitude or signs. Generally, we can notice that high prices with significant negative shocks have a more massive effect on future fluctuation. The shocks that affect its future fluctuation are positive and negative for low prices.
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