模拟政策变化对冰岛鳕鱼渔业的影响

Sigríður Sigurðardóttir, Kristófer Gunnlaugsson
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在2012年捕鱼年,冰岛实施了一项新规定,规定渔民必须将他们捕获的所有东西放上岸。在2012年之前,常见的做法是在船上切开鱼肚,取出鱼卵囊,然后扔掉鱼肉,因为它没有什么商业价值。建立并模拟了今后25年的吸鱼渔业生物经济模型,目的是评估这种不丢弃政策对渔业利润率和渔业内就业人数的影响。采用了系统动力学方法;我们开发了一个因果循环图,描述变量如何相互影响,然后在Stella中实现模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulating the impact of policy changes in Icelandic lumpsucker fishery
In the fishing year 2012 a new regulation was enforced in the Icelandic lumpsucker fishery which made it obligatory for fishermen to land everything they catch. Before 2012 the common practice involved cutting the fish belly open on-board, removing the roe sac and then discarding the flesh as it has had little commercial value. A bio-economic model of the lumpsucker fishery was constructed and simulated for the next 25 years with the aim of assessing the impact of this non-discard policy on the profitability margin of the fishery and the number of jobs within the fishery. A system dynamics approach was applied; a causal loop diagram was developed describing how variables affect one another followed by model implementation in Stella.
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