通胀目标制对发达和新兴市场经济体的宏观经济影响

I. Chugunov, M. Pasichnyi, A. Nepytaliuk
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文评估了目标化通胀制度对发达和新兴市场经济体实际产出和消费者通胀持续性的治疗效果。实证分析基于35个经合组织国家和40个新兴国家的数据,涵盖了1990年至2017年期间的通胀和非通胀目标。结果表明,通货膨胀目标制(以下简称IT)对人均GDP增长率没有显著影响,但略微降低了产出波动率。这项研究发现,成熟的信息技术具有减缓消费者通货膨胀和减少其波动性的作用。此外,在经济合作与发展组织国家,货币框架在大衰退期间具有一定的优势。作者认为,为了保持新兴经济体的价格稳定,央行必须高度独立并承担责任。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting in Advanced and Emerging Market Economies
The article assessed the treatment effects of targeting inflation regime on the real output and consumer inflation persistence in both advanced and emerging market economies. An empirical analysis is based on data from 35 OECD and 40 emerging countries and covers inflation and non-inflation targeters over the period 1990–2017. The results showed that inflation targeting (henceforth – IT) had no significant impact on the GDP per capita growth rate but slightly reduced the output volatility. This study founded out that full-fledged IT had the effect of slowing down consumer inflation and reducing its volatility. Moreover, in the OECD countries, the monetary framework had certain advantages during the Great Recession. The authors argued that in order to maintain price stability in emerging economies, a high level of central bank independence and accountability is required.
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