基于数据挖掘的金融交易系统

Gil Rachlin, Mark Last, Dima Alberg, A. Kandel
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引用次数: 55

摘要

本文提出了一种基于数据和文本挖掘技术相结合的预测股票趋势和金融交易决策的新框架。该系统的预测模型除了基于Web上可获得的传统数值时间序列数据外,还基于带有时间戳的Web文档的文本内容。基于模型预测(ADMIRAL)的金融交易系统使用三种不同的交易策略。本文采用C4.5决策树归纳算法,对现实世界系列新闻故事和股票数据进行了仿真和评估。主要的绩效衡量指标是诱导模型的预测准确性,更重要的是,使用这些预测的每种交易策略的盈利能力
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ADMIRAL: A Data Mining Based Financial Trading System
This paper presents a novel framework for predicting stock trends and making financial trading decisions based on a combination of data and text mining techniques. The prediction models of the proposed system are based on the textual content of time-stamped Web documents in addition to traditional numerical time series data, which is also available from the Web. The financial trading system based on the model predictions (ADMIRAL) is using three different trading strategies. In this paper, the ADMIRAL system is simulated and evaluated on real-world series of news stories and stocks data using the C4.5 decision tree induction algorithm. The main performance measures are the predictive accuracy of the induced models and, more importantly, the profitability of each trading strategy using these predictions
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