主要行业指数的波动交互作用:关于新冠肺炎期间的发现

Fatih Güzel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究的目的是确定2020年3月(土耳其发现COVID-19之日)和2022年4月(国家和全球范围内大流行的影响减弱,限制在很大程度上被取消)期间BIST主要行业指数之间的波动性相互作用。换句话说,这是对新冠肺炎大流行期间BIST主要行业指数波动外溢性的分析。因此,本书旨在为投资不同行业的投资者、负责确保市场运作的监管当局、政策制定者和学术研究提供参考。本研究采用北京科技大学科技(XUTEK)、北京科技大学产业(XUSIN)、北京科技大学金融(XUMAL)、北京科技大学服务(XUHIZ)这几个北京科技大学的主要行业指数,采用Hafner和Herwartz(2006)的方差因果检验。研究发现,XUMAL、XUHIZ和XUTEK在不同程度上都是波动的发射方和接收方,而XUSIN则是所有系列的波动接收方。新型冠状病毒感染症(COVID-19)显著影响了科技股行业指数的波动结构。在波动溢出方面,行业指数相互作用强烈。工业部门是受其他部门波动溢出影响最大的部门。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
VOLATILITY INTERACTION OF BIST MAIN SECTOR INDICES: FINDINGS ON THE COVID-19 PERIOD
The aim of the study is to determine the volatility interaction between BIST main sector indices for the period of March 2020, the date when COVID-19 was seen in Turkey, and April 2022, when the effects of the pandemic decreased on a national and global basis and the restrictions were lifted to a large extent. In other words, it is the analysis of the volatility spillover of the BIST main sector indices during the COVID-19 pandemic period. Thus, it is aimed to be a reference for investors investing in different sectors, regulatory authorities responsible for ensuring the functioning of the market, policy makers and academic studies. In this study, BIST Technology (XUTEK), BIST Industry (XUSIN), BIST Financial (XUMAL), BIST Services (XUHIZ) indices, which are the main sector indices of BIST, were used, and the Hafner and Herwartz (2006) causality-in-variance test was applied. It was found that XUMAL, XUHIZ and XUTEK are both volatility emitters and receivers at different levels, while XUSIN is a volatility receiver for all series. COVID-19 has significantly affected the volatility structure of the BIST sector indices. In terms of volatility spillover, sector indices interact intensely. The industrial sector is the sector most affected by the volatility spillover from other sectors.
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