马来西亚公司债评级的信息内容发生变化

Ezeldin El Domaa, Mohd. Azmi Omar
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文旨在研究马来西亚公司债券评级变动对1993年1月至2003年12月(含2003年12月)普通股收益的影响。采用具有两种竞争规格的市场模型来衡量企业的正常收益。这些是市场模型的标准事件研究方法和ARMA-GARCH滞后规范。最初的发现是,评级下调和上调都会引发市场的负面反应,尽管有一些信息泄露的迹象。然而,通过一些额外的分析,我们发现,虽然降级会引起负面的市场反应,但升级却不会引起任何市场反应。此外,我们在最初的调查结果中看到的上调后的负面反应主要是由于1997/98年东南亚金融危机的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE INFORMATION CONTENT OF THE MALAYSIAN CORPORATE BOND RATING CHANGES
This paper aims at investigating the impact of corporate bond rating changes on the common stock returns of the Malaysian corporations for the period spanning from January 1993 up to December 2003 inclusive. The market model with two competing specifications is used to measure the normal returns of firms. These are the standard event study methodology and the ARMA-GARCH lag specification of the market model. The initial finding is that both downgrades and upgrades trigger negative market reaction, albeit with some signs of information leakage. However, with some additional forensics we find that while downgrades elicit negative market response, upgrades induced no market reaction whatsoever. Moreover, the negative reaction following upgrades that we have seen at the initial finding was mainly due to the impact of the South East Asian financial crisis of the 1997/98.
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