马拉维贫困的决定因素:来自2019年第五次综合住户调查的证据

Hyunju Oh, Taeyoon Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究使用2019年马拉维第五次综合家庭调查的2688个数据来确定马拉维的贫困因素。家庭对贫困的主观评估分为六个等级,并与有序概率模型一起使用,因为它可以很容易地捕捉到人们生活各个方面的贫困情况,并补充发展中国家农民基于收入的贫困衡量。在此基础上,利用人均年消费价值对消费贫困与主观贫困进行了多项逻辑比较。采用部分比例赔率模型,因为它拒绝平行线假设。总体结果表明,主观和消费贫困决定因素重叠。但在马拉维,主观贫困更多地与家庭资产、自然灾害、援助、金融包容性、食品安全、婚姻状况和教育水平相关,而非消费性贫困。建议对持续和发展食品、农业投入和生活便利补贴项目提供政策支持,因为正在进行的项目平等地对待各种家庭,增加了摆脱主观贫困和消费贫困的可能性。另外,还将推进提供资产管理教育的农村延伸事业,为弱势家庭带来整体福利。最后,应该通过缩小工资差距和多样化福利项目来改善女性福利,以改善社会对女性劳动的认识。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of Poverty in Malawi: Evidence from the Fifth Integrated Household Survey 2019
This study uses the 2019 Malawi Fifth Integrated Household Survey with 2,688 data to determine poverty factors in Malawi. Households’ subjective assessment of poverty having six levels is used with an ordered-probit model since it can easily catch deprivation in various aspects of people’s lives and complement the income-based poverty measurement for farmers in developing countries. Furthermore, consumption poverty using the annual per capita consumption value is compared with subjective poverty with a multinomial logit model. A partial proportional odds model is used as it rejects the parallel lines assumption. The overall results indicate that subjective and consumption poverty determinants overlap. But subjective poverty is more associated with household assets, natural disasters, aid, financial inclusion, food security, marital status, and education level than consumption poverty in Malawi. Policy support for continuing and developing subsidy programs for food, agricultural input, and life convenience is suggested since ongoing programs equally treat a variety of households and increase possibilities to escape both subjective and consumption poverty. Also, a rural extension program that provides asset management education is expected to draw overall welfare for vulnerable households. Finally, female welfare should be improved by reducing the wage gap and diversifying its welfare programs to improve the social perception of female labor.
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