金融发展与经济增长:ARDL模型在发达国家和发展中国家的应用

Kamran Ali, Muhammad Siddique, Muhammad Amir Chaudhry, Haider Tariq
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摘要

金融发展和经济增长对发达国家和发展中国家都至关重要,因为它决定了一个国家的经济增长率和金融体系的复杂性。本研究使用了2005-2019年发达经济体和发展中经济体的样本,以观察金融发展与经济增长之间是否存在关联。本研究的目的是比较发达国家和发展中国家金融发展与经济增长之间的关系。采用ARDL模型分析了基于2019年GDP(当前美元)的前15个发达国家(美国、日本、德国、英国、法国、意大利、加拿大、韩国、澳大利亚、西班牙、荷兰、瑞士、波兰、比利时、奥地利)和前15个发展中国家(中国、印度、巴西、俄罗斯联邦、墨西哥、印度尼西亚、泰国、尼日利亚、阿根廷、菲律宾、马来西亚、南非、哥伦比亚、埃及、阿拉伯共和国、巴基斯坦)的二手数据。研究结果显示了基于ARDL模型的研究指标之间的长期和短期关系的一些有趣的见解。这项研究可能有助于发达国家逐步改善其金融结构和经济增长率,同时为发展中国家提出新的政策倡议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial development and economic growth: An application of ARDL model on developed and developing countries
Financial development and economic growth are vital for both developed and developing nations because it determines a country’s economic growth rate and the complexity of its financial system. A sample of developed and developing economies from 2005-2019 was used in this study to observe whether there is an association between financial development and economic growth. The purpose of this study is to compare the association between financial development and economic growth in developed and developing countries. An ARDL model was used to analyze secondary data from the top 15 Developed countries (United States America, Japan, Germany, United Kingdom, France, Italy, Canada, Korea, Rep., Australia, Spain, Netherlands, Switzerland, Poland, Belgium, Austria) and top 15 Developing countries (China, India, Brazil, Russian Federation, Mexico, Indonesia, Thailand, Nigeria, Argentina, Philippines, Malaysia, South Africa, Colombia, Egypt, Arab Rep., Pakistan) based on GDP 2019 (Current US$). Findings of the study shows some interesting insights for long and short run relationship among study indicators based on ARDL model. This research might help developed countries to enhance their financial structure and economic growth rate over time, while for developing countries suggests new policies initiatives.
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