提高对电力系统测量的信任

A. Riepnieks, H. Kirkham
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引用次数: 0

摘要

电网是一个庞大而复杂的系统。系统变得越来越大,越来越复杂。分布式能源和更活跃的客户角色是增加复杂性的因素。这个复杂的系统由人工操作和自动化相结合来操作。有效控制电网需要越来越多的自动化来支持系统操作员。自动化对更多支持的需求只会随着操作复杂性的增加而增加。控制系统的动作完全取决于测量的结果。测量为所有尺度的决策提供信息。对测量结果的信任程度基本上是一个未知因素。北美电力可靠性公司的报告显示,程序和模型并不总是像预期的那样工作。部分问题在于系统事件会扭曲信号波形。问题的另一部分是发生在操作员控制范围之外的事件会影响测量结果。涉事公司及其监管机构不得不改变要求和指导方针。对于大多数感兴趣的量,高“准确性”测量是可用的,但问题与可信度有关,而不是与“准确性”有关。准确度是在受控环境中为设备建立的,在该环境中可以估计“真实值”。现实世界的情况可能大不相同。仪器可能根据其规格提供准确的输出,但测量可能不代表现实,因为在现实世界中发生的事情超出了这些规格的范围。这是一个需要解决的问题。问题的关键在于:现实世界的测量作为决策辅助的有用性与测量的可信度有关,而与用户手册上说的仪器有多准确无关。计量学家在过去几十年里不断完善的“不确定性”概念是一个预测未来结果离散度的统计过程。这样的措施对于实时电力系统的使用实际上是没有意义的。电力系统的特性在很长一段时间内不是稳定的。低质量的结果可能导致错误的决策,因为电力系统测量目前缺乏任何类型的实时“可信赖连接”。电力工业中通常使用的信号模型是电压和电流用数学正弦波很好地表示。给定这个起点,我们描述了两个信任度量,它们提供了与被测量的实时系统的可验证链接。量度捕捉仪器测量模型和实际信号之间的任何不匹配。我们的信任意识指标可以引导我们在电力系统环境中开发更健壮的运行模型。每个度量结果都报告了相关的实时信任(或不信任)度量,允许用户(无论是否人为)评估结果的有用性。当然,应该由用户决定如何在决策中使用低质量的结果。给出了实际电力系统事件中实时信任度量计算的实例,并对其在公用事业用户场景中的应用进行了评估。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Improving Trust in Power System Measurements
The power grid is a large and complex system. The system becomes larger and more complex daily. Distributed energy resources and a more active customer role are factors adding to the complexity. This complicated system is operated by a combination of human operators and automation. Effective control of the power grid requires an increasing amount of automation to support system operators. The need for more support from automation can only increase as operational complexity increases.Actions in controlling the system are entirely dependent on the results of measurements. Measurements inform decisions at all scales. How much trust can be placed in the measurements is essentially an unknown factor. North American Electric Reliability Corporation has generated reports showing that procedures and models have not always worked as expected. Part of the problem lies in the fact that system events can distort signal waveforms. Another part of the problem is that events taking place outside the control area of an operator can affect measured results. The companies involved, and their regulators, have had to change their requirements and guidelines.High “accuracy” measurements are available for most quantities of interest, but the problems are related to trustworthiness, rather than “accuracy.” Accuracy is established for a device within a controlled environment, where a “true value” can be estimated. Real-world conditions can be vastly different. The instrument may provide accurate output according to its specifications, but the measurement might not represent reality because what is happening in the real world is outside the bounds of these specifications. That is a problem that demands a solution. The crux of the matter is this: a real-world measurement’s usefulness as a decision-making aid is related to how believable the measurement is, and not to how accurate the owner’s manual says the instrument is. The concept of “uncertainty” that metrologists have refined over the last few decades is a statistical process that predicts the dispersion of future results. Such a measure is virtually meaningless for real-time power system use. The properties of the power system are not stationary for long periods. A low-quality result can lead to a bad decision, because power system measurements presently lack any kind of real-time “trustworthiness connection.”The signal model generally used in the electric power industry is that the voltages and currents are well-represented by mathematical sinusoids. Given that starting point, we describe two trust metrics that provide verifiable links to the real-time system being measured. The metrics capture any mismatch between the instrument measurement model and the actual signal. Our trust-awareness metrics can lead to ways to develop more robust operating models in the power system environment. Every measurement result is reported with an associated real-time trust (or no-trust) metric, allowing the user (whether human or not) to assess the usefulness of the result. It is, of course, up to the user to determine how a low-quality result should be used in decision-making. Examples of real-time trust metric calculations during real power system events are provided, with evaluation for application in utility user scenarios.
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