CDS的混沌结构

M. Bildirici, Bahri Sonüstün, Seyit M. Gokmenoglu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在全球化处理了大多数国家和信息技术的革命性发展之后,金融投资流动增加了,投资者有机会投资于大量的国家、部门和资产。为了使投资有利可图,投资者需要一个指标来评估一个国家的风险水平。CDS可能是显示一个国家风险的最重要指标,因为CDS利率是在包括经济和政治问题在内的大尺度视图下计算的。在本研究中,利用LLE和Shannon熵检验来确定美国、土耳其和中国CDS的混沌行为。根据结果,所有CDS系列都具有混沌动力学。这些结果表明,所选国家具有风险性。在全球化处理了大多数国家和信息技术的革命性发展之后,金融投资流动增加了,投资者有机会投资于大量的国家、部门和资产。为了使投资有利可图,投资者需要一个指标来评估一个国家的风险水平。CDS可能是显示一个国家风险的最重要指标,因为CDS利率是在包括经济和政治问题在内的大尺度视图下计算的。在本研究中,利用LLE和Shannon熵检验来确定美国、土耳其和中国CDS的混沌行为。根据结果,所有CDS系列都具有混沌动力学。这些结果表明,所选国家具有风险性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Chaotic structure of CDS
After globalization processed most of the countries and the revolutionary developments in information technologies, financial investment flows have increased and investors have had the chance of investing in a large number of countries, sectors and assets. For a profitable investment, investors need an indicator to evaluate the risk level of a country. CDS is probably the most important indicator to show the riskiness of a country because CDS rate is calculated with a large scale view including both economic and political issues. In this study, LLE and Shannon Entropy tests were utilized in order to determine the chaotic behavior of CDS for the USA, Turkey and China. According to the results, all CDS series have chaotic dynamics. These results indicate that the selected countries have a risky nature.After globalization processed most of the countries and the revolutionary developments in information technologies, financial investment flows have increased and investors have had the chance of investing in a large number of countries, sectors and assets. For a profitable investment, investors need an indicator to evaluate the risk level of a country. CDS is probably the most important indicator to show the riskiness of a country because CDS rate is calculated with a large scale view including both economic and political issues. In this study, LLE and Shannon Entropy tests were utilized in order to determine the chaotic behavior of CDS for the USA, Turkey and China. According to the results, all CDS series have chaotic dynamics. These results indicate that the selected countries have a risky nature.
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