基于数据挖掘的电网运行风险自动监控

Wang Liang, Guo Fei, H. Jianjun, Z. Zhimin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在认识到电网安全运行重要性的基础上,构建了较为全面的电网工程运行评价指标体系。采用区间层次分析法确定评价指标的权重,大大降低了主观因素的影响,使评价指标更加科学合理。引入区间数的概念,最大限度地减少主观因素对评价指标权重确定的影响。并将电网运行分为结构、设备、管理、环境四个子系统,对电网运行风险进行综合评价和研究。将影响电网工程的因素分为静态影响因素和动态影响因素,静态影响因素包括电网的结构和设备的运行状态,动态影响因素包括外部环境和内部管理。此外,根据电网工程的特点和要求,采用物元可拓法构建评价模型并计算其关联度。并结合实例证明模型的适用性,有针对性地指出需要加强设备运维管理,提高管理人员的专业水平和技能,保证电网的安全稳定运行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Automatic Monitoring of Grid Operation Risks Based on Data Mining
On the basis of recognizing importance of safe operation in power grid, more comprehensive evaluation index system is built in this paper for power grid engineering operations. Moreover, interval analytic hierarchy process is used to determine weight of evaluation index, which greatly reduces influence of subjective factors and makes evaluation index more scientific and reasonable. Besides, concept of interval number is introduced to minimize influence of subjective factors in determining weight of evaluation indicators. In addition, power grid operation is divided into four subsystems structure, equipment, management, and environment so that comprehensive evaluation and research on grid operation risks can be performed. What’s more, factors affecting power grid engineering are divided into static influence factors in which structure of power grid and operating status of equipment are concluded and dynamic influence factors where external environment and internal management are involved. Additionally, according to characteristics and requirements of power grid engineering, matter-element extension method is used to construct evaluation model and calculate its correlation degree. Besides it, combined with examples to prove applicability of model, it is pertinently pointed out that operation and maintenance management of equipment need to be strengthened so that professionalism and skills of management personnel can be improved, and safe and stable operation of power grid will be guaranteed.
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