国内解药突然停止

E. Cavallo, A. Izquierdo, John J. Leon-Diaz
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引用次数: 8

摘要

当国内投资者的行动抵消了外国贷款的减少时,就可以防止净资本流动突然停止。本文提供的证据表明,虽然总流入突然停止,即。例如,外部借贷限制的收紧——这些因素与全球状况有关,因此在很大程度上不受当地政策制定者的控制。国内因素,如负债美元化水平低、汇率灵活性、通胀目标制度和坚实的制度背景,对于防止这些事件成为净资本流动的突然停止至关重要。在这些有利的当地条件下,国内投资者可能认为在外部冲击时引入资源的风险降低,从而使国家免受这种冲击。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Domestic Antidotes to Sudden Stops
Sudden Stops in net capital flows can be prevented when the actions of domestic investors offset a reduction in foreign lending. This paper presents evidence that while sudden stops in gross inflows—i.e., a tightening of the external borrowing constraint—are associated with global conditions and therefore, are largely outside of the control of local policymakers, domestic factors such as low levels of liability dollarization, exchange rate flexibility, inflation targeting regimes, and a solid institutional background are important to prevent these episodes from becoming sudden stops in net capital flows. Under these favorable local conditions, domestic investors may perceive reduced risk in bringing in resources at the time of an external shock, thus insulating the country from this shock.
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