FDI变量和进口国家外汇储备的VECM方法

Husnul Holifah, Lorentino Togar Laut
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摘要

外汇储备是一个重要的经济变量,受到世界各国,特别是发展中国家的高度关注,它在一个国家的政府或私营部门拥有的外汇数量中起着重要的作用。本研究分析了预计将影响1991-2021年期间外汇储备变动的外国直接投资和进口变量对外汇储备的关系。在已知VAR模型检验中存在协整关系后,使用的方法是向量误差修正模型(VECM)。结果表明,在短期内,FDI变量对外汇储备没有显著影响
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Pendekatan VECM Pada Variabel FDI dan Impor Terhadap Cadangan Devisa Negara
Foreign Exchange Reserves is an important economic variable that gets great attention from world countries, especially for developing countries where it plays a role in the amount of foreign exchange owned by the government or private sector of a country. This study analyzes the relationship between FDI and Import variables on foreign exchange reserves which are expected to affect the movement of foreign exchange reserves for the period 1991-2021. The method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) after it is known that there is a cointegration relationship in the VAR model test. The results show that in the short term, the FDI variable has no significant effect on foreign exchange reserves
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