宏观环境动态性与企业风险管理——探索性研究

Florian Klein, Jonas Puck, M. Weiss
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引用次数: 3

摘要

在国际贸易中,宏观环境是公认的企业风险来源。大量关于宏观环境风险的研究包含了各种测量方法、前因和管理后果。然而,对已建立的宏观环境风险措施的回顾表明,这些措施强烈关注宏观环境的质量,假设了相当静态的视角,主要排除了动态方面。基于先前对宏观环境风险和环境动态性的研究,我们认为宏观环境动态性——即宏观环境变化的频率、强度和可预测性——是国际商业风险的关键来源,迄今为止只受到有限的关注。此外,我们建议宏观环境动态性影响企业的风险管理活动,这是我们用来实证研究宏观环境动态性对企业影响的一种措施。我们利用六个新兴国家158家外国子公司的风险管理活动的主要调查数据和这些国家宏观经济背景的次要数据来探讨这种影响。我们发现,与宏观环境质量相比,宏观环境的动态性对企业的风险管理活动有很强的影响。我们的研究结果增强了对国际商业中宏观环境风险动态性质的理解,并提供了一个更全面地衡量宏观环境动态的概念,为未来的研究提供了基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macroenvironmental Dynamism and Firm Risk Management – An Exploratory Investigation
The macroenvironment constitutes a widely acknowledged source of firms’ risk in international business. A substantial body of research on macroenvironmental risks encapsulates a variety of measurement approaches, antecedents, and managerial consequences. However, a review of established macroenvironmental risk measures reveals that these measures strongly focus on the quality of the macroenvironment, assuming a rather static perspective and mainly excluding dynamic aspects. Building on prior research on macroenvironmental risk as well as on environmental dynamism, we argue that macroenvironmental dynamism – i.e. the frequency, intensity, and predictability of macroenvironmental variation – is a pivotal source of risk in international business, which so far only received limited attention. Moreover, we suggest that macroenvironmental dynamism influences firms’ risk management activities, a measure we use to empirically investigate firm implications of macroenvironmental dynamism. We explore this effect using primary survey data on risk management activities from 158 foreign subsidiaries in six emerging countries and secondary data on the macroeconomic context in these countries. We find evidence that macroenvironmental dynamism, if compared to macroenvironmental quality, exerts a strong influence on firms’ risk management activities. Our findings enhance the understanding of the dynamic nature of macroenvironmental risk in international business as well as provide a concept to more comprehensively measure macroenvironmental dynamism that future research can build upon.
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