XGBoost-SVM组合模型在定量投资策略中的应用研究

Hongxing Zhu, Anmin Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

财务数据是非平稳和非线性的。机器学习比传统模型更容易对金融数据进行分类。随着机器学习的发展,提高机器学习模型对股票价格预测的准确性逐渐成为一个研究热点。本文采用XGBoost (eXtreme gradient boosting)模型和SVM (support vector machine)模型分别预测沪深300、上证50和沪深500股指期货的涨跌波动。然后构建了XGBoost-SVM组合模型,并设计了一种量化投资策略来交易股指期货,以研究模型在量化投资策略中的有效性。研究表明,该方法结合三种价格趋势分类的投资策略,可以稳定地优于基准收益。构建的XGBoost-SVM模型性能优于原始模型。它会得到更高的回报。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application Research of the XGBoost-SVM Combination Model in Quantitative Investment Strategy
Financia1 data are non-stationary and nonlinear. Machine learning makes it easier to classify financial data than traditional models. With the development of machine learning, improving the accuracy of machine learning models for stock price prediction has gradually become a hot research topic. This paper uses the XGBoost (eXtreme gradient boosting) model and the SVM (support vector machine) model to predict the rising, falling and fluctuating of CSI 300, SSE 50 and CSI 500 stock index futures respectively. Then it constructs the XGBoost-SVM combination model and designs a quantitative investment strategy to trade stock index futures in order to research the effectiveness of the models in quantitative investment strategies. The research shows that the proposed method can stably outperform the benchmark returns by combining the investment strategies of the three-price-trend classifications. The constructed XGBoost-SVM model performs better than the original model. It gets higher returns.
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