数学模型在企业退休人员养老金制度改革中的应用

Haihui Wu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们描述了ACM SIG论文集的格式指南。本文采用数学建模的方法对我国企业退休职工养老金制度改革进行了研究。首先,本文结合经济学的相关知识,运用统计数据和Matlab软件,对山东省1978年以来的工人平均工资进行了随着时间的推移而上升的分析。为了得到更准确的预测模型,我们先后采用马尔萨斯模型和Logistic模型作为经验公式进行回归分析。并利用该模型对2019 - 2040年劳动者年平均工资进行预测。然后,以某企业为例,建立数学模型,计算企业员工在各种情况下的养老金替代率和养老金缺口,给出养老金支付与收入平衡时的年龄。最后,运用该模型给出了政府在未来实现基本养老保险费率58.5%的目标,保持养老保险基金收支平衡的有效措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of Mathematical Model in Pension: System Reform for Retired Employee in Enterprise
In this paper, we describe the formatting guidelines for ACM SIG Proceedings. In this paper, the reform of the pensions system for retired workers in Chinese enterprises is studied by means of mathematical modeling. Firstly, the paper analyzes the average wage of workers in Shandong Province since 1978, which is rising as the time goes by using the statistical data and the Matlab software, combined with relevant knowledge of economics. The Malthus and Logistic models were successively adopted as empirical formulas for regression analysis, so as to obtain a more accurate prediction model. And the annual average wage of workers from 2019 to 2040 is predicted by using this model. Then, taking a certain enterprise as an example, a mathematical model is set up to calculate the pension substitution rate and the gap of the pension fund of the enterprise staff in all kinds of situations, and to give the age when the payment of the pension is in balance with the earnings. Finally, some effective measures for the government are given by using the model in order to achieve the target of 58.5% of the basic old-age insurance in the future and maintain the balance of income and expenditure of the pension insurance fund.
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