欧洲的经济和金融一体化

G. Bekaert, Campbell R. Harvey, C. Lundblad, Stephan Siegel
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们利用欧洲各国的行业估值差异来研究加入欧盟和欧元区对经济和金融一体化的影响。在一体化市场中,一个行业内的贴现率和预期增长机会应该是相似的,不论国家如何,这意味着随着各国一体化程度的提高,估值差异会缩小。我们对1990年至2007年期间的分析表明,欧盟成员国身份显著降低了各国之间的贴现率和预期收入增长差异。相比之下,采用欧元并不意味着一体化程度的提高。我们的主要发现是,当样本期延长到2016年时,欧盟成员国的身份增加了一体化,而欧元的采用并没有改变。然而,我们观察到,与危机前相比,2008年至2016年期间欧盟成员国的影响较小。参见相关论文:欧盟、欧元和股票市场一体化以及股票市场有哪些细分?
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic and Financial Integration in Europe
We use industry valuation differentials across European countries to study the impact of membership in the European Union as well as the Eurozone on economic and financial integration. In integrated markets, discount rates and expected growth opportunities should be similar within one industry, irrespective of the country, implying narrowing valuation differentials as countries become more integrated. Our analysis of the 1990 to 2007 period shows that membership in the EU significantly lowers discount rate and expected earnings growth differentials across countries. In contrast, the adoption of the Euro is not associated with increased integration. Our main finding that EU membership increases integration, while Euro adoption does not, does not change when the sample period is extended to 2016. However, we observe that the EU membership effect is smaller between 2008 and 2016 compared to the pre-crisis period. See related papers: The European Union, the Euro, and Equity Market Integration and What Segments Equity Markets?
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