玉米贸易对加纳玉米产业发展的影响

R. Amponsah, Ximei Kong, Simon Abendin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文利用1980-2019年的时间序列数据,研究了玉米贸易对加纳玉米产业发展的影响。本研究采用多元向量误差修正模型(VECM)。我们评估玉米贸易是否刺激了玉米产业的发展,从而促进了经济增长。该研究进一步考察了化肥、机械和外国直接投资等其他生产变量是否有效地刺激了玉米产业的发展。实证分析结果表明,玉米贸易等变量对玉米产业具有长期正向影响。首先,研究结果表明,玉米进出口对加纳的玉米生产力产生了积极影响,从而在长期内促进了玉米产业的发展。其次,土地、机械、劳动力等生产投入与加纳玉米产业的发展具有长期显著的正相关关系。第三,化肥等其他生产投入对加纳的玉米生产力具有积极的非静态长期影响。基于这些发现,我们建议各国政府研究有关玉米产业发展的政策举措。政策倡议应提供财政和非财政激励措施,如肥料和经认证的种子补贴、关于投入物的免费服务规定、良好的农艺做法。此外,通过电子农业平台销售产品,并减少贸易限制,以最大限度地提高玉米产量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Maize Trade on the Development of the Maize Industry in Ghana
This paper examines the impact of maize trade on the development of the maize industry in Ghana using a time series dataset for 1980-2019. The study adopted the multivariate vector error correction model (VECM). We assess whether maize trade spurs development in the maize industry and hence economic growth. The study further examined whether other production variables such as fertilizer, machinery, and FDI efficiently stimulates development in the maize industry. The empirical analysis results suggest that maize trade and other variables positively impact the maize industry in the long run. Firstly, the results show that the import and export of maize positively impact maize productivity in Ghana, hence growth in the maize industry development in the long run. Secondly, the inputs of production including, Land, Machinery, Labor, have a long-run positive significant relationship with the development of the maize industry in Ghana. Thirdly, other production inputs such as fertilizer have a positive non-statically long-run effect on the maize productivity in Ghana. Based on these findings, we recommend that governments look into policy initiatives on the development of the maize industry. The policy initiatives should provide financial and non-financial incentives such as fertilizer and certified seed subsidies, complimentary service provisions on inputs, good agronomic practices. Also, marketing of outputs over an E-Agriculture platform, and reduce trade restrictions to maximize maize production.
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