粘性年龄:为什么65岁仍然是退休高峰?

Norma B. Coe, Mashfiqur R. Khan, Matthew S. Rutledge
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引用次数: 22

摘要

当社会保障的完全退休年龄(FRA)提高到66岁时,退休高峰年龄也随之提高。然而,很大一部分人在65岁时继续申请社会保障福利。本文探讨了65岁作为申领年龄的“粘性”的两个潜在解释:医疗保险资格和工人对未来社会保障福利缺乏了解。首先,我们通过比较两组来分析医疗保险资格的影响——一组的FRA正好是65;另一组年龄在65到2个月之间,另一组年龄在66岁。我们发现,拥有较晚fra的群体,如果不能通过雇主获得退休健康福利,则更有可能在65岁时申请社会保障。我们将这一发现解释为医疗保险资格说服更多人退休的证据,因为他们可以开始接受联邦医疗保险。在工作中没有获得退休人员健康保险的个人在65岁生日后不久退休的可能性比那些有该保险的人高7.5个百分点,推迟退休到联邦调查局的可能性低5.8个百分点。这一结果符合广泛的研究表明,获得医疗保险是退休决定的重要组成部分。关于社会保障福利的错误信息是否会促使个人在65岁时申请,我们发现一些人无法准确预测他们的退休福利。然而,我们的分析表明,这种困惑与65岁申请社会保障的高峰之间没有关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sticky Ages: Why is Age 65 Still a Retirement Peak?
When Social Security’s Full Retirement Age (FRA) increased to age 66 for recent retirees, the peak retirement age increased with it. However, a large share of people continue to claim their Social Security benefits at age 65. This paper explores two potential explanations for the “stickiness” of age 65 as a claiming age: Medicare eligibility and workers’ lack of knowledge about their future Social Security benefits. First, we analyze the impact of Medicare eligibility by comparing two groups – one has an FRA of exactly 65; the other, between age 65 and 2 months and age 66. We find that the group with later FRAs who do not have access to retiree health benefits through their employer are more likely to claim Social Security at age 65. We interpret this finding as evidence that Medicare eligibility persuades more people to retire, because they can begin receiving federal health coverage. Individuals without access to retiree health insurance at work are 7.5 percentage points more likely to retire soon after their 65th birthdays and are 5.8 percentage points less likely to delay retirement until the FRA than those with that insurance. This result fits into extensive research showing that access to health insurance is an important component of the retirement decision. On the question of whether misinformation about Social Security benefits may drive individuals to claim at age 65, we find that some individuals are unable to accurately forecast their retirement benefits. However, our analysis suggests that there is no relationship between this confusion and the age 65 peak for claiming Social Security.
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