江西省冶金企业低碳经营行为影响因素及政策模拟研究

Junmei Hu, Shuai Sun, Yujin Wan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

江西是资源大省,冶金企业众多。然而,江西大部分冶金企业的生产模式并不环保。政府迫切需要制定减少污染的政策。本文运用系统动力学的方法对影响冶金企业的政策进行了仿真分析,并提出了政策建议。现阶段,江西冶金企业的生产方式并不环保。政府迫切需要制定减少污染的政策。制定冶金企业减少污染的政策,首先要了解影响企业低碳经营的因素。学者认为,影响企业低碳经营的因素很多。从能源的角度来看,Michael Grubb, Lucy Butler, Paul Twomey(2006)通过对英国电力行业的分析,发现新能源是影响英国电力行业的重要因素,如果风能、太阳能等新能源有足够的储量,英国电力行业可以摆脱对煤炭的依赖,改善环境。从社会角度来看,Eva Heiskanen, Mikael Johnson, Simon Robinson(2009)认为个人将对低碳社会产生巨大的影响,包括个人偏好,生活方式和消费习惯。从政府的角度来看,Montalvo(2008)认为低碳与政府行为之间存在直接联系。他主张政府的直接强制性限制可以减少公司的碳排放。Ashford Zwetsloot(2000)从公司自身的角度出发,认为技术是实现低碳运营的关键。他认为应该开发低碳环保技术来降低能源消耗。Alexander(2007)同意这一观点。在建模之前,笔者对江西省5家冶金上市企业中的4家进行了问卷调查。通过问卷调查等方式,获得建模所需的一些数据。为了降低系统的设计难度和理解难度,本研究采用正反馈回路进行设计,并利用Vensim软件绘制了江西省冶金企业低碳经营行为的因果关系图。笔者将加入各种影响因素,便于后续政策模拟,并给出江西省冶金企业低碳经营行为影响因素的完整流程图。经笔者测试,模拟值与实际值的差值在±0.05%之间,表明该模型是可行有效的。由于篇幅所限,SD国际建模、分析、仿真技术与应用会议(MASTA 2019)的参数列表版权所有©2019,作者。亚特兰蒂斯出版社出版。这是一篇基于CC BY-NC许可(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/)的开放获取文章。智能系统研究进展,第168卷
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study on the Influencing Factors and Policy Simulation of Low Carbon Business Behavior of Metallurgy Enterprises in Jiangxi Province
As a province with rich resources, Jiangxi Province has many metallurgical enterprises. However, most of Jiangxi metallurgical enterprises' production pattern are not environmentally friendly. The government urgently needs to formulate policies to reduce pollution. This paper uses the method of system dynamics to simulate and analyze the policies affecting metallurgical enterprises, and gives some policy recommendations. Introduction At this stage, the production mode of metallurgical enterprises in Jiangxi is not environmentally friendly. The government urgently needs to formulate policies to reduce pollution. To formulate policies to reduce pollution in metallurgical enterprises, we must first understand the factors that affect low-carbon operations of enterprises. Scholars believe that there are many factors that affect the low-carbon operation of enterprises. From an energy point of view, Michael Grubb, Lucy Butler, Paul Twomey (2006) through analysis of the UK power industry, found that new energy is an important factor affecting the UK power industry, if new energy such as wind and solar energy with enough reserves, the UK power industry can get rid of its dependence on coal and improve the environment. From a social perspective, Eva Heiskanen, Mikael Johnson, and Simon Robinson (2009) believe that individuals will have a huge impact on low-carbon society, including personal preferences, lifestyles, and consumption habits. From a government perspective, Montalvo (2008) believes that there is a direct link between low carbon and government action. He advocates that the government's direct mandatory constraints can reduce the company's carbon emissions. From the perspective of the company itself, Ashford Zwetsloot (2000) believes that technology is the key to low-carbon operations. He believes that low-carbon environmental technologies should be developed to reduce energy consumption. Alexander (2007) agrees with this view. SD Model Before modeling, the author conducted a questionnaire survey on four of the five listed metallurgical enterprises in Jiangxi Province. Through questionnaires and other means, the author obtained some data needed for modeling. In order to reduce the design difficulty and understanding difficulty of the system, this study uses the positive feedback loop to design, and uses Vensim software to draw the causal relationship diagram of the low-carbon business behavior of metallurgy enterprises in Jiangxi Province. The author will add various influencing factors to facilitate subsequent policy simulation, and show the complete flow chart of the influencing factors of lowcarbon business behavior of metallurgy enterprises in Jiangxi Province. According to the author's test, the difference between the simulated value and the actual value is between ±0.05%, indicating that the model is feasible and effective. Due to the limited space, the list of parameters of the SD International Conference on Modeling, Analysis, Simulation Technologies and Applications (MASTA 2019) Copyright © 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/). Advances in Intelligent Systems Research, volume 168
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