电力系统关键节点安全态势评估与预测

Tianlun Jiang, Wenxia Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

关键节点的失活状态对电力系统的安全运行有一定的影响,因此本文提出了一种电力系统关键节点安全状态评估方法。通过收集影响电力系统关键节点安全的多个因素,研究关键节点失活对电力系统的影响,建立基于场景化电力系统脆弱性节点和设施识别模型的关键节点失活评估方法,进而分析其对电网稳定性的影响,并利用历史态势值预测未来某个时间点电网的安全态势。并通过IEEE-39总线系统验证了该预测模型具有较高的预测精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Security Situation Assessment and Prediction of Power System Key Nodes
The key node deactivation state has a certain impact on the security of the power system, so this paper proposes a power system key node security situation assessment method. By collecting multiple factors affecting the security of key nodes in power systems, studying the impact of key node deactivation on power systems, establishing a key node deactivation assessment method based on the identification model of scenario-based vulnerability nodes and facilities in power systems, and then analyzing the impact on the stability of power grids, and using the historical posture values to predict the security posture of power grids at a future point in time. And the prediction model is verified to have higher prediction accuracy by IEEE-39 bus system.
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