投资者和(价值线)分析师对未来收益信息反应不足:非盈余意外信息的纠正作用

P. Brous, Philip B. Shane
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引用次数: 96

摘要

先前的研究表明,金融分析师的盈利预测和股价对盈利消息的反应不足。本文提供的证据表明,分析师和投资者会根据下一次收益公告以及在收益公告之间可获得的其他(非盈余意外)信息纠正这种反应不足。我们的证据还表明,分析师和投资者对分析师收益预测修正中反映的信息反应不足,而非盈利意外信息也有助于纠正这种反应不足。控制纠正性非盈余意外信息显著增加了对分析师预测行为可以解释收益公告和分析师收益预测修正后收益漂移的程度的估计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investor and (Value Line) Analyst Underreaction to Information About Future Earnings: The Corrective Role of Non-Earnings-Surprise Information
type="main" xml:lang="en"> Prior research suggests that financial analysts’ earnings forecasts and stock prices underreact to earnings news. This paper provides evidence that analysts and investors correct this underreaction in response to the next earnings announcement and to other (non-earnings-surprise) information available between earnings announcements. Our evidence also suggests that analysts and investors underreact to information reflected in analysts’ earnings forecast revisions and that non-earnings-surprise information helps correct this underreaction as well. Controlling for corrective non-earnings-surprise information significantly increases estimates of the degree to which analysts’ forecasting behavior can explain drifts in returns following both earnings announcements and analysts’ earnings forecast revisions.
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