美联储宣布降息对亚洲和欧洲市场的影响

Luh Gede Sri Artini
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摘要

摘要2019年7月31日美联储宣布降息是2008年以来罕见的事件。美联储降息将对全球经济和资本市场状况产生重大影响。本研究的目的是确定亚洲和欧洲地区在美联储宣布加息日期前后的平均异常收益率是否存在差异。本研究的样本是亚洲和欧洲18个新兴市场国家的指数指数,采用有目的抽样的样本收集技术。本研究采用单因素方差分析技术和单样本t检验。结果发现,美联储宣布加息前后的平均异常收益没有差异。这种情况说明两个地区的市场反应不明显,因为亚洲和欧洲地区的市场处于半强(half strong)形式的有效状态,市场迅速吸收信息并反映在股价上,因此两个地区的平均异常收益没有差异。平均异常收益不存在差异也是由于全球经济的不确定性使得投资者在进行投资决策时更加谨慎。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Market Reaction As An Impact Of The Fed Interest Rate Decrease Announcement In Asian And European Areas
Market Reaction As An Impact Of The Fed Interest Rate Decrease Announcement In Asian And European Areas   ABSTRACT The announcement of the reduction in the Fed's interest rate on July 31, 2019 is a rare event since 2008. The  Fed's rate cut will have a major impact on the global economy and conditions in the capital market.The purpose of this study is to determine whether there is a difference in the average abnormal return around the date of the announcement of the Fed's interest rate hike in Asia and the European region. The sample of this study was 18 emerging market countries' index indices in Asia and Europe with sample collection techniques using purposive sampling. This study uses One Way Anova analysis techniques and One Sample T-test. The results found that there was no difference in the average abnormal return before and after the announcement of the Fed's interest rate increase. This condition shows that markets in the two regions do not react significantly because markets in Asia and the European region are in an efficient condition in the form of half strong, where the market absorbs information quickly and is reflected in stock prices so there is no difference in the average abnormal return in both regions. The absence of a difference in the average abnormal return is also caused by the uncertainty of the global economy making investors more careful in making investment decisions.
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